Despite heightened volatility across financial markets in recent sessions, signals from prediction markets suggest recession fears are easing rather than intensifying. Kalshi data indicates the ...

The past has shown that nontraditional measures like brothels, beer and lipstick can tell us a lot about the economy’s health ...

Goldman Sachs' CEO is forecasting another strong year for markets and said the odds of a recession were relatively low at around 20%.

The U.S. economy managed to navigate a volatile 2025 without collapsing, but the cumulative effects of ongoing trade tensions ...

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

SaaS stocks plunged 15% as AI disruption fears grew, while Bitcoin and silver swung. Read more macro analysis here.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0 ...

Economists predict growth to slow but not outright reverse in 2026 — and that’s good news for your wallet. Money; Getty Images There’s no Magic 8 Ball economists can shake to be completely sure about ...

Looming fears of a recession have subsided in recent months. With the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and GDP continuing to grow, Americans’ economic anxieties have cooled. But one economist ...

Slowing home price growth, rising inventory in some regions and modestly lower mortgage rates are giving buyers slightly more ...

If you look under the hood … more than 50% of consumer spending has come from the top 10% of earners. That is where the resiliency is coming from. If you look at the bottom 90%, you see middle-class ...